This is my new little corner on the web. It is has been about three years since I started running, mostly for fun, some statistical models on football ("soccer") scores and championships -- nothing really fancy, but friends seem to like it and one of them asked me to start posting the simulations after each round. So, here you have it.
For those interested, what I am going to post are the results of a statistical model (technically, a Bayesian Monte Carlo method) that, given past results, the history of performances, and the scores in an on-going competition, returns the probability of each team achieving a given position. For the English Premier League, for example, given the bookmakers' odds for all teams, the scores of matches already played and the next fixtures, it informs the probability of each team finishing first, qualifying to the Champions League or Europa League, or being relegated.
Feel free to drop me a message if you find this interesting, want me to start simulating for other competitions, want to collaborate, or whatever! :)
